Long Bets “is a public arena for enjoyably competitive predictions, of interest to society, with philanthropic money at stake.” An example — a bet between Ray Kurzweil and Mitch Kapor — “By 2029 no computer – or ‘machine intelligence’ – will have passed the Turing Test.” On a completely unrelated note, Brian Eno’s username on the site is “poptimist.” Ha!
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